Winter 2016/2017

POSTING THIS ON OCTOBER 28, 2016 / Keeping track of our winter, which is predicted in the Farmer’s Almanac, the local Pennsylvania Dutch, and my horse’s thick winter coats (already) to be a brutal winter.  Let’s see.  I am thinking we will have average temperatures throughout November into December, then we’re gonna get hit with ice storms.  Lots and lots of ice storms in December, January and February.

 

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POSTING THIS ON NOVEMBER 12, 2015 *Keeping track of our winter, which has been exceptionally warm for fall and is now entering winter.  I am predicting warmth into January and then two major storms that will drop significant snow.  And two ice storms which will leave my pastures a disaster.

DECEMBER 2015 proved me correct.  Three days we hit record high temperatures and our monthly average was 9 degrees higher than normal.  And everything is still so green.

freakyWINTER STORM JONAS – predicted to hit us on Saturday January 23, 2016 with a changing amount of snow (chuckle).  At the moment, I am totally not feeling this storm so my prediction is conservative.

Weather Channel Dodie
Monday 18-Jan 70% 3-5 inches 2-3
Tuesday morning 19-Jan 100% 5-8 inches 2-3
Tuesday evening 19-Jan 80% 1-3 inches 2-3
Wednesday morning 20-Jan 80% 3-5 inches 2-3
Wednesday evening 20-Jan  90%  5-8 inches  under 6
Thursday morning 21-Jan  90%  5-8 inches  under 6
Thursday evening 21-Jan  80%  8-12 inches  under 6
Friday morning 22-Jan  100%  10-15 inches  under 10
Saturday morning 23-Jan  100%  18-24 inches  O.M.G.

Yep, snow storm Jonas kicked everyone’s butt on predictions.  Here in Krumsville we received a 31″ snowfall in 14 hours.  That’s right!  Snow pretty much shut down The Lehigh Valley.  I spent 4 hours Saturday clearing the customers that I could get to – townships had not cleared many of the secondary roads.  Sunday I spent 8.5 hours cleaning up all my snow plowing customers.  And one of those I had to plow the tertiary road to get to the customer.  That was fun … NOT!

Day after the storm JONAS. Secondary roads are still covered and I'm out plowing.

Day after the storm JONAS. Secondary roads are still covered and I’m out plowing.

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(to date 03/05/15)  50.5″ of snow, six ice storms and one arctic vortex that lasted 18 days (Feb 10 to 28).

POSTING THIS ON OCTOBER 31, 2014  *Keeping track of snow for this winter.  Everyone is claiming Winter 2014/2015 will be worse than last winter 2013/2014 … we had 64″ of snow last winter and three arctic vortexes attacked us!  I am saying we will not get as much snow, we will get lots of little snow falls and we will have ice storms…lots and lots of ice storms.  It will be warmer than last year, too.

First snow 11-14-2014 = 1.75 inches

First snow 11-14-2014 = 1.75 inches

Winter storm “CATO” November 26, 2014 – I predicted 4 to 5 inches.  The weather men predicted 6 to 8 inches.  It was so warm that even though they say we got 5 inches, it was melting so by the time it was over, we had 3 inches (chuckle)

Second snow (Storm CATO) 11-26-14 = 5" melted down to 3"

Second snow (Storm CATO) 11-26-14 = 5″ melted down to 3″

This particular snow fall on December 12th began as the weather men calling for severe conditions in a N’orester.  They were calling 3 to 5 inches in our area with over a foot in NY and north.  Well, on day 1 and 2 we had rain and lots of wind.  On day 3 they called for snow showers all day accumulating less than an inch.  We got 1.5 inches of snow showers!

snow_121114

This N’orester (not given a name by the weather men) dropped a whopping 1.5 inches on 12-11-14

Today’s flurries and dusting of snow netted us another 1.75 inches.

December turned out to be a very nice month.  Our average daily temperature was six degrees above normal.  I rode my horse every week without fail with no weather related issues (like last year’s two feet of snow and ice and arctic vortexes dropping temps into the single digits.)  So far, I have been on the money with my winter predictions.

Snowfall 01-06-2015

Snowfall 01-06-2015

.JANUARY 12, 2015 – we got freezing drizzle all day.  The drizzle soaked into the little bit of snow on the ground and temps dropped into the single digits at night.  TRAILS ARE A MESS.

.JANUARY 18, 2015 – we got freezing drizzle all day.  Three accidents out in front of our house because cars were traveling too fast and couldn’t stop at the red light.  My driveway is the bomb (for practicing ice skating). My pastures are toast and the horses haven’t been up out of the lower pasture since the 12th.  Too icy.

.JANUARY 21, 2015 – I forgot to take a picture.  We got 1.5 inches of snow that was supposed to be a dusting.  No big thing as it was relatively warm and the snow was gone in a day.

.JANUARY 23, 2015 – Oooo, here comes a storm called Iola … temps were in the upper 30’s in the afternoon and the snow will now freeze into a block of ice as it is saturated from melting all day.

Storm Iola, dropped 5.5" of heavy wet snow overnight.

Storm Iola, dropped 5.5″ of heavy wet snow overnight.

.And we have a clipper system rolling towards us which I am predicting will be worse than STORM IOLA (gawd) and yet this clipper has not been named.  So I will christen her, Josephine.  LOL  Stay tuned, I predict she’s going to have high winds, cold temps so lots of blowing and drifting.

They finally named the storm system Juno and called for 16 inches for our area … and yes, it was very bad for New England.  Blizzard conditions, high winds, lots and lots of snow.  “WE” however, were sitting in a band of nothingness in between the storm for 24 hours and only got about 2 inches total.

For 24 hours we had snow to the west and east of us while we sat in a dry band.

For 24 hours we had snow to the west and east of us while we sat in a dry band.

MY BAD! Just when I giggled because we have had no real "winter weather" this year, here comes an arctic vortex dropping right on top of us.

MY BAD! Just when I giggled because we have had no real “winter weather” this year, here comes an arctic vortex dropping right on top of us.  Alas, they were wrong about this, too.  Daily highs were in the upper 20’s and our night lows never went below 13.  STUPID WEATHER PEOPLE!

snow_020215Now, on Feb 4th, they’re predicting two clippers back to back so we will have snow for 4 days Feb 7-8-9-10.  Yep! On the weekend I am supposed to drive to New York for the ECTRA Awards Banquet.

February 8 and 9 … What a joke, one inch of snow and ice mixed – they were calling for 5 to 8 inches.  I predicted 3 to 4 ending in freezing rain.  I was wrong about the total snowfall but totally correct about the ice!  I drove all day to customer’s homes in the freezing rain.  It was an adventure in watching idiots spin out and flip upside down in ditches.  In my 8 hour day I saw fourteen accidents.  Ice is nothing to mess with!

February 11 – an inch and a half of snow!  HOWEVER!  We had such strong winds, that inch of snow drifted many of the back roads closed very quickly.  They called for 4 to 6 inches, I said 2 inches at best.

We have now entered into a severe Arctic Vortex.  Temps at night in the single digits, and a couple times in the negatives.  Day time highs barely reaching the teens.

February 17 - weather forecast called for 3 to 5 inches. We have 1.5". I said 1 to 2 inches. And the cold air remains over us, night time lows in the negatives.

February 17 – weather forecast called for 3 to 5 inches. We have 1.5″. I said 1 to 2 inches. And the cold air remains over us, night time lows in the negatives.

I am on a roll!  Time to put in my application to be a weather forecaster.  I have been wrong but my forecasts are much closer than theirs!!!!

February 22 - Once again, I am right on the money! They said 6 to 9 inches with ice. I said 4 or 5 inches and no ice. We got another 5 inches and no ice

February 22 – Once again, I am right on the money! They said 6 to 9 inches with ice. I said 4 or 5 inches and no ice. We got another 5 inches and no ice.

FINALLY! We are coming out of the arctic vortex that has hung over us for 18 days of single digits temps.

FINALLY! We are coming out of the arctic vortex that has hung over us for 18 days of single digits temperatures.

snow_030115

They said “4 to 6 inches” … I said “1 to 2 inches” … We got 2.5 inches March 1, 2015.

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They said "2 to 4 inches of snow with minimal ice" ... I said "HEAVY ICE" ... We got almost over an inch of sleet topped off by freezing rain. Bad driving the next morning March 4, 2015

They said “2 to 4 inches of snow with minimal ice” … I said “HEAVY ICE” … We got almost over an inch of sleet topped off by freezing rain. Bad driving the next morning March 4, 2015

They said "6 to 9 inches" I said "4 inches" ... my bad ... we got 6 inches of new snow on March 5, 2015

They said “6 to 9 inches” I said “4 inches” … my bad … we got 6 inches of new snow on March 5, 2015

And we set a low temperature record today. Last record in 2007 at 12 degrees.

And we set a low temperature record today. Last record in 2007 at 12 degrees.

And, as a last attempt to keep winter here, we broke another record set back in 2007.

And, as a last attempt to keep winter here, we broke another record set back in 2007.

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First day of spring 03-20-2015 and we received 8.5 inches of snow. Tomorrow it will be 50 degrees so it will all melt quickly.

First day of spring 03-20-2015 and we received 8.5 inches of snow. Tomorrow it will be 50 degrees so it will all melt quickly.